FOREIGN FUNDS FLOCK TO DALAL STREET
Dalal Street has turned out to be the hottest investment
destination across Asia over the past 12 months. It beat arch
rivals - Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan and China - to bag the top
spot in the race for big bucks from foreign investors.
Ignoring India's low weightage in the benchmark MSCI Emerging
Markets Index, overseas investors pumped more dollars into
local markets than other regional heavyweights.
The MSCI emerging markets index has assigned a weightage
of 5.8% to India. Korea has a weightage of 17.7%, Taiwan 14.2%
and China 8.2%. Between September '03 and September '04, India
received $1.4bn from global and regional equity funds, according
to one of the most widely used foreign fund trackers, Emerging
Portfolios Fund Research (EPFR).
The database compiles flows from over 5,019 equity funds
with $1.23 trillion in total assets. Latest EPFR statistics
show that these funds invested $899.2m in Korea, $874.2m in
Malaysia, $844m in Taiwan and $651.4m in China during the
same period.
These figures understate actual inflows since the Boston-based
database compiles flows mostly from emerging market funds.
For instance, markets regulator Sebi shows net inflows of
$6.5bn into India during the one-year period.
Also, while EPFR pegs inflows during September at $452.7m,
Sebi statistics put them at $515.1m. However, comparisons
with other sources are impossible as unlike India, other Asian
markets neither collate nor release net foreign investment
numbers.
Most fund managers at regional offices of top FIIs are unanimous
on the view that India has been receiving maximum investor
attention, especially over the past few weeks. The relative
strength of the Indian rupee against the dollar is attracting
large inflows and India seems to be acquiring the status of
being the region's star and investors' darling, they say.
"We are deploying most of the cash on our books to India.
This is much in excess of the traditional weightage assigned
to the Indian market in our regional portfolio," said
the Hong Kong-based head of one such fund.
Dollar investors have, in fact, turned on the taps for flows
into non-dollar denominated assets over the past couple of
weeks. India is said to be getting the largest share of the
enlarged pie. Inflows during December alone stand at $858m,
according to Sebi. November has seen $1.5bn being poured into
local shares. Net inflows for '04 now stand at $7.9bn.
As a result of these fund flows, India has become the best
performer since September. The MSCI India index has jumped
15.35% (in terms of the dollar), leaving all other emerging
Asian markets, except Indonesia (17.11%), behind.
Commenting on foreign fund flows into the different markets,
a Deutsche Bank report states: "The dollar slide has
promoted a liquidity bubble in Hong Kong. India has continued
to star through the rally, largely because people are busy
buying a secular bullish story on India - one we happen to
agree with." On Korea it states, "We doubt the Korean
domestic recovery will be rewarded by the market on a six-nine
month view."